“The security situation in Afghanistan will continue to be fluid and uncertain,” noted Sun. Politically China has been hedging its bets by entering into parleys with both the Afghan Government as well as the Taliban. “What China could do is participate in the postwar reconstruction and provide investment to help the country’s future development,” the Global Times quoted a senior Chinese government expert as saying on Sunday. Guidance for the Brookings community and the public on our response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) », Learn more from Brookings scholars about the global response to coronavirus (COVID-19) ». The same phrase can well be used to assess the Chinese policy in Afghanistan as it transits into an uncertain phase post the US withdrawal. Like Russia and Iran, China initially welcomed the U.S. intervention in 2001 against an Afghanistan that was at the time mostly controlled by the Taliban, with other groups such as Al-Qaeda and . Afghanistan would give China and other Central Asian nations a strategic boost as the country is placed as a central hub connecting the Middle East, Central Asia and Europe. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin, reacting to Harris . The US withdrawal from Afghanistan scheduled on September 11 this year has led to immense speculation among states that have stakes in a post-withdrawal world order in Central Asia. The British, the Russians and the Americans, at various stages over the last century have singed themselves in Afghanistan, aptly termed the “graveyard of Empires”. Third, Afghanistan-China trade is negligible and one sided. T hus far, China is already declaring victory.Wang Yi, the foreign minister, has called the situation in Afghanistan "yet another negative example" of the folly of military intervention in . China Blames US over Afghanistan, But Says Will Work with It. Found insideAnalyzes the U.S. and international efforts in Afghanistan and offers detailed recommendations for dealing with the precarious situation leading up to the 2014 transition to Afghan control and beyond. China on developing 'friendly' relations with Taliban. Found insideA collection of articles written from 1989 to 2009, updated for this volume. China is ready to capitalize on the U.S.' botched troop withdrawal as the Taliban seizes power in Afghanistan. If Japan dares to intervene with force when China "liberates" Taiwan, the narrator states, the Communist country will respond with an all-out war against Japan, striking first with nuclear . China is ready to capitalize on the U.S.' botched troop withdrawal as the Taliban seizes power in Afghanistan. There is also the fear of pan-Islamic groups based in Pakistan and Afghanistan stepping up support to Uighur groups in their quest for independence from China. If Beijing gets very involved in it, sends many troops and establishes a strong presence, it may turn out to be terrible because China could have to run it like the US and Russia tried to do. Found insideThe Secret War in Afghanistan undertakes a full analysis of recently declassified intelligence archives in order to asses Anglo-American secret intelligence and diplomacy relating to the invasion of Afghanistan and unveil the Cold War ... However, I would argue that China will be extremely reluctant to get directly embroiled in the Afghan embroglio because of the following: First, China has no historical relations or connect with Afghanistan. It sees no direct threat from Afghanistan and has no cause to commit military force if assurance and guarantees are forthcoming from a favourable dispensation in Kabul regarding security of Xinjiang. Found insideAt the same time, China's own concerns about separatist resistance in Xinjiang, which China attributes to the same radical Islamic groups in Afghanistan, ... Beijing wants stability. The idea that, as senior colonel Zhou Bo claimed in the New York Times, Afghanistan is some kind of void for other great powers to fill given the US departure is absurd. By Azeem Ibrahim, a columnist at Foreign Policy and a director at the Newlines . Afghanistan is an independent sovereign country. Found insideThomas J. Christensen argues against this zero-sum vision. Instead, he describes a new paradigm in which the real challenge lies in dissuading China from regional aggression while encouraging the country to contribute to the global order. Exploring the many facets of this dynamic region, the book also assesses U.S. policy toward Afghanistan and explains the importance of Bangladesh and Pakistan, two of only a handful of Islamic states with significant track records as ... Notwithstanding its low profile, China had not been passive. Trade between China and Afghanistan is admittedly small (about US$600 million in 2020), but Afghanistan's mineral and energy resources are of interest to the Chinese state companies. With Taliban leaders eyeing reconstruction of the region, China will provide infrastructure development necessary to rebuild the nation. China appears to be preparing to ramp up its involvement in Afghanistan as US troops complete their final withdrawal — with Beijing eyeing the war-torn nation for investment and influence . Russia, China and Iran have warned the United States that it must not intervene in Cuba after the island was rocked by major protests for which U.S. President Joe Biden cast his support.. As Cuban . China has also carefully balanced its relations with other Islamic states in warding off any diplomatic actions as a consequence of her “atrocities” against Uighur Muslims. In 2018, almost 80% of Afghanistan’s $11bn public expenditure programme came from donor grants. In other words, Beijing does not want to be mired in “the Great Game” in the centre of the Eurasian continent. He is a keen China watcher and writes regularly on military affairs. But Beijing is also treading a careful line in navigating an increasingly uncertain security situation in one of its most volatile neighbours. Taiwan is a thriving democratic society, a critical link in global supply chains, and a close partner and friend of the United States and other countries in the region, including Japan and Australia. Chinese state media is already touting the communist country's prospective . Found insideThe best country-by-country assessment of human rights. The human rights records of more than ninety countries and territories are put into perspective in Human Rights Watch's signature yearly report. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! It is difficult to predict how China will interact with the Taliban now that the latter have taken over the Afghan government again. Instead, China has offered constructive suggestions that are totally different from the . China on Tuesday hit back at US Vice President Kamala Harris for accusing Beijing of "coercion" and "intimidation" to assert its claims over the disputed South China Sea, saying America's intervention in Afghanistan and the subsequent troop withdrawal show Washington's definition of the rules-based international order. This paper reviews the India's and Pakistan's interests in Afghanistan, how they have tried to further their interests, how Afghanistan navigates their rivalry, and the rivalry's implications for U.S. and Indian policy. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, Hua Chunying, declared during a press conference on Tuesday that her country expects the U.S. to stop "using democracy and human rights as an excuse" to intervene in the internal affairs of other states "and undermine peace and stability in other countries and regions," after the resurgence of the Taliban in Afghanistan.</p> By Jesus Centeno Beijing, Aug 13 (EFE).- China and Russia concluded Friday their joint military drills sending a signal of strength and solidarity with an eye on Afghanistan, where the Taliban continue their rapid progress as they seek to take over the country. Second, alternate BRI routes to the Indian Ocean exist through CPEC. Chinese propaganda officials likely will seek to exploit tragic images of America’s abandonment of Afghan partners as proof points of American unreliability and incompetence. The principal means through which China may seek to profit from America’s withdrawal might be its efforts to advance a narrative of American decline. But there is "virtually zero chance" that China would ever intervene militarily in Afghanistan to impose that needed stability, Small said. As the Chinese saying goes — why not “kill with a borrowed knife”? Fourth, China is conscious that any intervention will bring it directly in conflict with pan-Islamic groups which could draw attention of a jehad on itself. He said that if Afghanistan turns into a launching pad for attacks into Central Asia, then China and Russia could very well launch a joint military intervention to eliminate that threat. Tuesday, August 17, 2021 Order from Chaos Eventually, China would press Pakistan to intervene in Afghanistan, militarily. China on Tuesday hit back at US Vice President Kamala Harris for accusing Beijing of "coercion" and "intimidation" to assert its claims over the disputed South China Sea, saying America's intervention in Afghanistan and the subsequent troop withdrawal show Washington's definition of the rules-based international order. From a hard security standpoint, Taiwan is no more vulnerable today than it was one week ago. Afghanistan, also known as "graveyard of empires" has remained unconquerable . Afghanistan is but another way station on America’s path of decline. Still others assert that Taiwan is now more vulnerable because Beijing has taken the measure of America’s resolve and competence and found it lacking. They can essentially be discussed under two verticals: Security and economy. Similarly, China has not been asked by the Afghan government for any intervention and such a decision wouldn't be popular with the Afghan people. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. Some argue the withdrawal will free up American resources to focus on China and the Indo-Pacific. Chinese interests in Afghanistan are well documented. That could serve some U.S. ends. Beijing likely will take the time necessary to gain confidence that its defensive security requirements are met before it attempts to advance its affirmative interests in Afghanistan. Third, the PLA neither has the experience nor the leadership to undertake expeditionary and irregular warfare as is obtained in Afghanistan. Chinese state media calls Afghanistan a “graveyard of empires”. Prestige on the world stage will ultimately be defined by performance. So the U.S. withdrawal is disconcertingly familiar to Moscow. Beijing faces complex conundrums at the moment. The population, China will never intervene in other country ’ s leaders likely understand America s! Withdrawal opens a vacuum for China to exploit s Afghanistan policy, analysts say heavily Pakistan. 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